Tim Worstall has a whole category on his blog dedicated to it.
Is the Tory lead really just three points?
6 hours ago
having financially intelligent people in Parliament during the middle of a financial crisis would be absurd. Far better to have some "community organisers". They'll sort the mess out.
A programme of government investment would not only stimulate the wider economy in the short term, but would increase long-term growth, thereby lowering the debt levels through a higher tax take. To this end, we encourage the chancellor to use the forthcoming budget to announce a second fiscal stimulus – especially in housing and transport, where investment has fallen most, and with a focus on developing a low-carbon economy – which would both help to secure economic recovery and create much needed jobs.
Alexandra Kemp, Chief Executive, West Norfolk Women and Carers' Pensions NetworkBellavia Ribeiro-Addy, NUS National OfficerByron Taylor, National Trade Union Liaison Officer, Trade Union & Labour Party Liaison Organisation (TULO)Cat Smith, Vice Chair, London Young LabourClifford Singer, Director, The Other TaxPayers' AllianceEllie Gellard, Labour bloggerJeremy Corbyn MPTony Juniper, environmentalistWill Straw, Editor, Left Foot Forward
Christopher Cramer, Professor of Political Economy of Development, SOASGrazia Ietto-Gillies, Emeritus Professor of Applied Economics, Director Centre for International Business Studies, London South Bank UniversityProf. George Irvin, Univerity of London, SOAS.Ismail Erturk, Senior Lecturer in Banking, Manchester Business SchoolJohn Ross, Editor, Socialist Economic BulletinJohn Weeks, Professor Emeritus of Economics, SOAS, University of London, and former director of the Centre for Development Policy and Research.Jonathan Rutherford, Professor of Cultural Studies, Middlesex UniversityMalcolm Sawyer, Professor of Economics, University of LeedsMichael Burke, Economist and contributor to Socialist Economic BulletinPaul Sagar, New Political Economy Network.Pat Devine, Honorary Research Fellow, University of ManchesterPrem Sikka, Professor of Accounting, University of EssexRichard Murphy, Director, Tax Research UKRobin Murray, Fellow, Young Foundation, Author of Danger and Opportunity:Crisis and the New Social EconomySusan Himmelweit, Professor of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences, Open University
And it comes apart every time you discover that, for all the new packaging, the Conservatives are the "same old Tories" after all – from the expected 50 Tory MPs in the next parliament to be drawn from the City or the financial services industry all the way to the "no entry" signs on country estates their families have owned for more than 500 years.
What a theme, and what a speech, and what a speaker, and how Oliver Cromwell himself would have been thrilled to hear the parliamentary cause elevated to its rightful pre-eminence... Writing as an impenitent Leveller who still begs to differ with you (and Oliver Cromwell) in so many matters, I still cannot withhold my wonder and excitement at what I heard there today.
Ann Coffey: More than 3,000 young people in my constituency receive the education maintenance allowance. Without that financial support, many of them could not stay on for further education and skills training after 16. Will my hon. Friend assure me of his continuing commitment to maintaining the education maintenance allowance for low-income families in my constituency?
Here comes the hard part, one that challenges the liberal desire to accept “the other,” one that challenges the desire to embrace multiculturalism which after all has brought so much richness to the West.Harry’s Place isn’t alone in publishing report after report of radical immigrants to Europe, or the radicalized children of immigrants who haven’t assimilated, who haven’t adopted Western, liberal culture, but who seem to be using democratic means to work against liberal democracy. This has resulted in terrorism in Europe, in segregation; it’s creating stress within communities; there are pockets of poverty and neighborhoods, for example in France, where even the police don’t go.There are examples aplenty of politicians seeking election who, at worst, like Galloway, exploit Muslim communities and themselves have adopted the Hamas platform; at best one sees Labour politicians eager for votes apparently signaling their acceptance of certain aspects of anti-liberal culture. Media, even the formerly liberal/left Guardian, seem to have become platforms for the most radical interpretations of anti-Western, anti-American and anti-Semitic writers.The impact on women’s rights alone could be significant. Freedom of speech is challenged even within the university.Art is challenged. People have been murdered or threatened with death for making films, writing novels, for drawing cartoons.It’s impossible not to see this attack on art alone, on creativity, as a real threat to sacred pillars of Western civilization– the right to create, the right to stand up to religious hierarchy, the right to be secular, even the right to be outrageous. Stifling those rights represent real threats to Western and post-Enlightenment values that we hold dear.So, I hate to admit it but my feelings about Geert Wilders are becoming more mixed than I would wish.I do think there is a real danger of an anti-Muslim backlash, that anti-Muslim, anti-Islam propaganda can be as dangerous as anti-Semitism. I think there’s a big danger of neo-fascism emerging as a powerful element of Western politics, not only in Europe but possibly in America as well.But, I also think that certain cultural aspects coming from Africa, the Middle East and Asia are antithetical to Western culture.How do we reassert our cultural and political values without crossing the line into bigotry and xenophobia?
The charge of "putting party before country" has been a potent one, at least since Winston Churchill found an unusual vehicle to launch a political attack through a book index entry, "Baldwin, Stanley ... confesses putting party before country, 169-70.But has the charge ever fitted anybody so well as the astounding Lord Ashcroft?
There is nothing Somali about the violence afflicting our country. The extremists are waging war against our Somali flag, our Somali values and our religion.
The bottom line for me is that it is wrong to kill people, unless it is the only way to stop them killing others. The death penalty belongs to another age, an age when people took the Old Testament literally, when trial by drowning was an acceptable method of dealing with witchcraft. It is not something that should have a place in a modern society.
The worst possible outcome of the present revival of these two criminals would be that people might seek vengeance, even perhaps targeting the wrong victim. But, even if they got the right target, it would be a huge blow to society.
Clegg has discovered (rather to his personal dismay) that most of his party regard any kind of agreement with the Conservatives with disgust.This feeling is so overwhelming that Clegg fears that a Lib/Tory pact might actually split his party.
The Freedom Party (PVV), which chiefly campaigns against Muslim immigration, has dented the image of the Netherlands, which was once considered a bastion of tolerance.
The Kingdom of England is in a parlous state. Ruled by a rotten Scottish tyranny, the nation groans under the weight of oppressive, unconstitutional laws, the ruling elite is in the pay of its absolutist masters on the continent, and many Englishmen suspect their government is promoting an oppressive and reactionary religion against the will of the people.The nation’s only hope is a charismatic young Dutchman fighting almost single-handedly against the creation of a united Europe under the rule of an unelected tyrant in Holland’s southern neighbour.
Why I, as a Conservative trade unionist, believe the unions should cut their links with Labour
But can these productions really further the debate around racism, or is this merely the liberal middle-class arts community trying to make itself feel current and politically engaged?
Gaza’s Islamic Hamas government on Thursday banned men from working in women’s hair salons, the latest step in its campaign to impose strict Islamic customs on Gaza’s 1.5 million people.
Zimbabwe's President Robert Mugabe Thursday said his country would have better relations with London if the Conservatives win the next elections."We have always related better with the British through the Conservatives than Labour," Mugabe told journalists."Conservatives are bold, (Tony) Blair and (Gordon) Brown run away when they see me, but not these fools, they know how to relate to others," he added.Mugabe's rant comes after Prime Minister Gordon Brown told South Africa's Jacob Zuma in London that Zimbabwe's targeted sanctions would not be lifted until progress was seen in the power-sharing government.Zuma, who is the mediator in Zimbabwe's fragile unity accord, wants the sanctions lifted."We have a better chance with (British Conservative leader) David Cameron than with Brown," said Mugabe.
That this House is concerned that the small number of remaining Jews living in Yemen are facing ongoing religious persecution and systematic mistreatment which represents a critical threat to the health, safety and security of their community; notes that the United States administration has facilitated the resettlement of Yemeni Jews in the US for those with ties to that country; and urges the Government to follow this example and consider providing specific measures for those members of the group with ties to the UK who urgently need protection on humanitarian grounds.
contrary to the rumours cunningly put about by Tory Central Office – he is instinctively pro-EU
People sometimes ask what makes David Cameron a Conservative. If you spent a few days in the place which shaped him, you wouldn’t need to put the question. This is a bit of England that in some ways seems to me more real, because more permanent, than those bits sometimes held up as “gritty reality”. How to describe such communities? Decent, determined and discrete; sturdy, stable and self-sufficient; prosperous, peaceable and patriotic. People here love their country, and are quick to volunteer to serve it, but generally distrust its officials. They pay their taxes meticulously, while quietly regretting their level. They devote themselves to charity, and are hard-headed about what constitutes a deserving case. They love the natural world, but have little time for bossy global eco-technocracies.
His compassionate Conservatism detoxified the Tory brand, but it is opposed by a free-market hinterland of hard right prospective parliamentary candidates amongst others.
The Conservatives lost catastrophically for a reason, or for many reasons.
The mood in the bars of Brighton is grim: the Tory lead is down to two points in the latest poll. (As UK polling Report notes, any individual poll should be treated with caution) The poll is, obviously, bad news for the Tories. But it does set the stage for David Cameron’s speech tomorrow. Cameron will deliver the speech without notes and from past experience we know that when he does that he tends to deliver a very good speech—see the 2005 and 2007 conferences for examples. If Cameron can emphasise to the country why it shouldn’t want five more years of Gordon Brown and how the Tories will change things, then the materials will be in place for a fight-back narrative.
If William Hague was leader, the Tories would be way ahead in the polls
And yet one would have thought that the finest PR minds in Christendom might have been able to forge some sort of message out of 13 years of reckless spending, failed social engineering, welfare expansion and uncontrolled immigration, all in the most spied-on society outside North Korea. Instead we’re on course for a draw. David Cameron and George Osborne have a serious image problem if the British public are even considering the thought of reelecting McDoom, Mandelson, Balls and Harperson for another five years. Gary Glitter could probably win a popularity contest with that gang – so why can’t the Tory leadership?
That this House agrees that the first-past-the-post electoral system is the most appropriate for electing honourable Members of Parliament.
A grown-up Labour party needs to embrace proportional representation
So the British version of the ‘Tea Party’ movement was apparently launched in Brighton today. Seemingly, most of that delightful seaside resort responded with indifference at this apparently ‘historic’ event. Personally, I’m pretty alarmed that the most crankish part of an increasingly crankish Republican Party (see my post here about the rightward drift of an already right wing GOP) seems to want to replicate itself over here. The last thing we need is a British version of the tea party movement.
Tories caught up in new immigration stormConservative leader and home affairs spokesman appear on leaflet saying 'floodgates' have been opened to immigrants
My own family, my children, have suffered from that and we recognise that point...
Controlling the borders is a first duty of government. Sudden and unexpected immigration has abruptly changed the nature of some communities and there is no point pretending it can or will be reversed. With a backlog of 250,000 asylum cases and more building up, the UK Borders Agency can still only process less than half its target applications a month. Even then, sending back failed asylum seekers is often impossible. Applications are slowing – but they ebb and flow with wars, since only extreme conditions eject people from their homelands.
The stakes are very high. If we recognise our common ground, a new progressive era of political reform based on Britain's natural anti-Tory majority can take charge.
Today, whatever dissatisfaction there may be with our government after 13 years in office, it is becoming clear that people do not trust David Cameron's Tories. Beneath the slick spin, nobody knows what they really stand for, and many suspect they are still the old "nasty party" after all.
allying with fringe far-right parties in Europe
As long as British governments back wars and occupations in the Middle East and Muslim world, there will continue to be a risk of violence in Britain. But attempts to drive British Muslims out of normal political activity, and the refusal to confront anti-Muslim hatred, can only ratchet up the danger and threaten us all.
The Falklands belong to Argentina. They just happen to have been seized, occupied, populated and defended by Britain.
Is it not time for Britain to stop behaving like a 19th-century colonial power and heed the call of the United Nations to discuss the question of sovereignty with Argentina?
Its always interesting to find the people who write this stuff in defence of Argentina or want to give the Falkland Islands to them don’t live on the Falkland Islands. My family have for generations, with my ancestors being English, Scottish and Irish not Argentinian.I wonder if someone who lived across the road tried to claim ownership to your house if you would just let them take it. Based on your arguement proximity equals ownership.As for oil I don’t think you will find many real Islanders who are enthusiastic about it being here, we just want to live in peace something our neighbours will not allow. Maybe we should get them an ASBO!
umm just to make this personal, my family have been in the Falkland Islands since the 1850s. There was NEVER a native population, thus it was my family and all the other families that settled and developed this little place, against some pretty difficult odds, and unlike other countries (Argentina included) we did not remove a native population to whom the country originally belonged. Its disturbing to hear some of you wisely pontificating about the only place myself and my ancestors have ever called home. Incidentally there were a number of settlements in the Falklands ‘in the beginning’ one of which was French… The Spanish and British had a few little spats over a number of years, and the one that ‘hung in there’ was the Brits – why I don’t know, but that’s a fact.Why I wonder do a number of you feel that just because we are a small population we do not have the ‘right to self determination’ as stated in the United Nations charter.I should also add that another invasion is most unlikely. It is in Argentina’s Constitution to pursue the sovereignty of the Falklands by peaceful means. It is in our Constitution that we claim the right to self determination. It is Britain that currently supports us in giving us the Government of our choice. Falkland Islanders see the Falklands as belonging to them… we need Britain to protect our rights and we do all we can not to be a drain on Britain. With oil, perhaps we can be an asset. Whatever happens we may be few but we have the same rights as each and every one of you.
What the hell are we doing messing about with them for?Does anyone feel the same as me that we’re being a bit of a bully?The islands have had a very chequered history as far as sovereignty goes but blimey…..I’m sure if Argentina pulled a big oil exploration rig over to the Isle of Man and started drilling holes willy nilly we’d have plenty to say. Our days of Empire building are over…and I really don’t care that we have had a population there since 1833…it’s off their coast…it should be theirs!Christ have we not lost enough lives over oil already. We will get by without it, Gordon!….and yes, I am sorry that we lost so many lives in the Falklands War…but I was against that too!It’s not right…and you won’t be able to convince me otherwise.
Why bother writing this if you are already convinced?It seems to me that any person with a vague understanding of liberty and self-determination would be fully behind Britain here: Falkland Islanders feel just as British as the Queen, and consider themselves as much a part of Britain as Kent or Lancashire.The only real question here is what gives you the right to decide whether British people should be ruled by foreign countries?This has nothing to do with “Empire” – the Falkland Islanders are hardly being colonised or subjected or oppressed – which they would be, funnily enough, if the Argentinians invaded them. It also has nothing to do with oil – it is Argentina who have become interested in the islands due to oil, not the British. Thus, you should be attacking the oil-hungry Argentinians for wanting to provoke a war over oil.
“Briefing against her has already begun,” discloses my man in Gordon Brown’s bunker.Astonishingly, Labour officials claim that David Cameron’s wife, who transformed the fortunes of the Mayfair stationer Smythson while raising three children, is “lazy”.The plan is to compare Mrs Cameron, 38, unflatteringly with Sarah Brown, 46.“Much will be made of Sarah’s charity work and journalists will be encouraged to make comparisons with the amount of work that Mrs Cameron does for charity,” says my mole.
There are some more current things to write about, which I'll catch up on over the coming days, but I thought I'd use today's blogpost to point out an obscure figure who should serve as a warning to this generation and future ones. After the rally, thousands of angry, frustrated students converged at the Berlin offices of the Socialist German Student Union, which was the leading student organization at the time. Gudrun Ensslin, a young woman with an intense demeanor, screamed to the crowd, “This fascist state means to kill us all! We must organize resistance. Violence is the only way to answer violence. This is the Auschwitz Generation, and there’s no arguing with them!” The leader of the Student Union, firebrand organizer “Red” Rudi Dutschke, was sympathetic to Ensslin’s goals but proposed decidedly different tactics to achieve them. Instead of violence, he advocated for “a long march through the institutions” of power, to create radical change from within government and society by becoming an integral part of the machinery.Students of modern German history know how these twin philosophies played out over the coming decades. Ensslin helped to form the Red Army Faction, popularly know as the “Baader-Meinhof Gang”. During the next decade Ensslin, intent on bringing a form of Socialist Revolution to Germany, and the 50 or so young Germans who joined her and her boyfriend Andreas Baader, left a trail of destruction through Germany unmatched since the Soviet Army paid a visit in 1945. They blew up buildings and killed American soldiers. They killed the leading justice on the West German Supreme Court. They kidnapped and later murdered Germany’s most noted industrialist, a man who roughly occupied the place Bill Gates holds in the U.S. today. They helped highjack a Lufthansa jet. They blew up the German embassy in Stockholm.A whole other generation of young Germans chose to take up Rudi Dutschke’s call to action instead. They would be instrumental in the rise of Greenpeace and environmental consciousness in Germany, and would go on to found the progressive Green Party in 1979. Twenty years later the Green Party would be sharing control of the German government.
So how did it come to be that one of America’s most powerful allies and one of the world’s leading democracies chose to suffer the wrath of America by staying out of the war? Because a generation of people chose to heed Rudi Dutschke’s call three decades ago. They became civil servants. They got elected to local offices. They became involved in socially progressive causes. They founded and guided the Green Party into becoming a true force in German politics, eventually putting the party in the position to share power with the SPD (Germany’s equivalent of the Democrats) in a coalition government. They took positions of power in the upper echelons of German government, like Joshka Fischer, who became Germany’s Foreign Minister (the equivalent of Colin Powell). And when the opportunity came for a bold choice to stand up to oppressive American pressure to support the coming war, Germany’s government was well represented with members of Rudi Dutschke’s generation, ready to fulfill his legacy, and take a strong stand on behalf of social justice and against unjust aggression.
Rudi Dutschke, a brilliant Berlin student leader, advocated a “long march through the institutions.” He proposed a decades-long Revolution by entering the systems of power, working into positions of leadership, and effecting peaceful, gradual change from within. His arguments held considerable sway, inspiring many young Germans to begin their own long marches. Joschke Fisher, Germany’s extraordinarily popular current Foreign Minister, and so instrumental in the German decision to oppose the 2003 American war in Iraq, was the most noted of hundreds of former radicals who deferred their immediate goals and steadily marched into the upper echelons of the German power structure.
my decision in this case was taken both in the interests of national security and on grounds of a political nature
The Duke, 65, has said he would be happy to be known simply as Peregrine Cavendish, ending three centuries of history and tradition.He said: “The aristocracy is not dying, it’s dead! Coffin’s nailed down, it’s in the ground. It doesn’t exist, except that people have titles.”The Duke inherited his title six years ago on the death of his father and lives at the family seat of Chatsworth House in Derbyshire. However, he did consider not accepting the peerage."But I thought it might have been disrespectful to Chatsworth," he said in an interview with the Sunday Times Magazine.He now insists he would be prepared to give it up if Labour wins the next election and ploughs ahead with plans to end hereditary peerages."Because then it would be clear-cut what the people wanted, and it would be confusing to maintain hereditary titles. So, finish that, go back to being called Cavendish," he said.“Look, I’m only here by pure chance, I haven’t earned any of this … And it would be so easy to drop it, too: Just the stroke of a pen, or not even that — just a new passport.”